The Forum > Article Comments > Debt and deficit Downunder – a view from Europe > Comments
Debt and deficit Downunder – a view from Europe : Comments
By Alan Austin, published 30/4/2013Australia's Prime Minister has just delivered a speech similar to that of most of her counterparts across the globe. Though with notably brighter news.
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@Shadow Minister, re “Both Fitch and Standard and Poors have issued warnings that the AAA credit ratings may be threatened unless Labor brings it deficits under control.”
Almost correct. With an election looming, the agencies are warning the Opposition – and maybe voters – not to revert to the profligate spending, foreign exchange losses and the other disasters of the Howard/Costello years.
It's a fulsome commendation of Labor’s strategy, having delivered the world’s best-managed economy, as we have seen.
Moody’s said about the Budget, “Australia's relatively low level of government debt has been one of the factors supporting the Aaa rating.”
Re: “The restoration of Australia's AAA rating came after six surplus budgets were delivered.”
Not quite, SM. Australia first gained AAA with all three agencies in 2011, when Fitch joined Moody’s and Standard and Poors. This came after three deficits were delivered, with two more in the forward estimates.
Australia’s deficits and borrowings, according to the agencies and international economists, are exactly right for the times.
Moody’s again:
“The size of the deficits is such that the gross debt of the Commonwealth government will rise only slightly from its currently estimated 19.3% of GDP to a peak of 20.6% in 2014-15. On a net basis, the peak will be 11.4% of GDP, and the government's long-term forecasts have this figure falling to zero early in the next decade.”
Re: “In 2003, S&P said Australia "has one of the strongest fiscal positions" and its reinstatement of the AAA rating paved the way for Australian companies to borrow funds at a cheaper price.”
Unfortunately, 2004 to 07 saw the squandering of billions derived from assets sales and the resources boom, as the IMF reported in January. Where did all that money go?
So frustratingly inept!
Re: “It is no wonder that Swan is considered the most incompetent treasurers in living memory.”
By whom, SM? Not by the ratings agencies, the markets, economists and treasurers overseas. They are all in awe at Australia getting everything so incredibly well-balanced at the depths of the worst recession since the 1930s.
Cheers,