The Forum > Article Comments > Flannery and the Climate Commission. > Comments
Flannery and the Climate Commission. : Comments
By Anthony Cox, published 22/8/2012For a non-political body the Climate Commission makes a lot of political statements.
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Since 2003 the OHC has been nearly flat, with an almost imperceptible rate of increase; the comparison between the rate of change post ARGO compared with the rate of change before ARGO is discussed here:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/03/20/ocean-heat-content-adjustments-follow-up-and-more-missing-heat/
The difference ARGO made to the measurment of the OHC can be seen by this graph where the 'jump' in OHC at the point of the introduction of ARGO represents over 40% of the increase in OHC since 1955:
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/loehle_ohc_fig1.png
So, what we have is an artifact of the change in measurment being responsible for over 40% of the increase in OHC and since the new, more accurate ARGO system came in, effectively NO increase in OHC.
Bonmot's other point is that water is a +ve feedback outweighing the "slight negative feedback" from clouds.
This is not right for 2 reasons; firstly clouds are an overwhelmingly -ve feedback:
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012JD017626.shtml
And many other papers also show this -ve feedback from clouds.
Secondly the amount of water in the atmosphere has been declining:
http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c0168e7e7d179970c-pi
So, even if water vapor is a +ve feedback it has been decreasing.