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Climate change: why do the facts fail to convince? : Comments
By Tom Harris, published 4/6/2012Arguments are about logic, but also group identification, which is one of the confounding factors in the climate debate.
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Posted by Curmudgeon, Tuesday, 5 June 2012 11:22:10 AM
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I see we still haven't got through to you the basics of the scepticism. Of course climate has or is changing. Of course glaciers have been melting. The question has always been why. Is it a natural change as has happened so often before, or is there some forcing due to human activities?
Climate scientists insist that it is at least partially due to human forcing but we have no means of judging what they say. The fact that experts have said so, and are using the best science available, is simply not relevent. Experts in and of themselves cannot prove a proposition - they must be able to demonstrate that they have used their knowledge to make successful forecasts. So far their track record on seasonal forecasts is worse than chance, and their short term forcasts (several years) are not much better.
A great deal more could be said, but if you want to convince sceptics first you should make an effort to understand their arguments.