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America and Iran recklessly ride the escalation ladder : Comments
By Marko Beljac, published 24/1/2012'Asymptotic proliferation' could be the end product of the law of unintended consequences between Iran and the US.
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An excellent article. I agree with most points including:
page.1 – there is too much exaggeration or simplification or out of context use of IAEA statements
Though disagree "Such a bomb would need to be tested" No test necessary if it were of the HEU gun/Tall Boy type.
p.2 The TRR requirements appears to present an alternative theory and use for Iran enriching U to 20%
All the non-nuclear, regime change requirements of the financial sanctions bill appear to guarantee Iran won't accept them.
Learned a new word today :) "asymptotically" meaning escalating towards infinity?
p.3 "The US could threaten to launch widespread attacks both against regime assets throughout Iran and Iran's oil and energy infrastructure". The economic impact in the US may make the President unpopular in an election year – perhaps best to bomb in December 2012.
Bombing oil infrastructure is likely to sharply drive up the world oil price for years until repairs are done. Airstrikes not involving oil infrastructure may only cause price rises for months.
- agree that airstrikes would hurt the Iranian anti-Government, pro-democracy cause due to boosted support for the Iranian Government.
See my earlier OLO Jan 2010 article http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=9915 on Iran's nuclear program which included references to Fardow.
Regards
Pete