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The IR conundrum: society or economy? : Comments
By Tim Martyn, published 15/11/2005Tim Martyn argues there is a trade off between society and the economy with Australia's new industrial relations laws.
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I actually believe that the recession we had to have was a John Howard (Treasurer - Fraser Parliament) inspired and caused issue. Paul keating did instigate the micro-reforms under Bob Hawke, however only in response to the problems inherited from the inflationary pressures caused by Mr Howards mismanagement of treasury during the late 1970's.
So you look forward to a Australian Fair Pay Commission, stacked with former ACTU (etc.) leaders? I presume from your statement that our 'recession proof' economy could deal effectively with their version of how wages should be increased & when (believe me, from personal experience I am well aware of the ALP's capacity for stacking).
Please do not mistake my prsonal perspective on these reforms, however I believe that it is instructive for some of the more intransigent proponents of these changes to contemplate their capacity to cause long-term harm. i personally think that we are due for massive 'inflation' (actually inflatiion really is the increase in cash or substitutes - see record levels of personal indebtedness - credit is a cash substitute, therefore what is commonly referred to as inflation is really the symptom of what has already occurred).
Therefore to suggest that our economy is inflation proof - is a bizarre misstatement of economic reality - we will experience inflation, with the corresponding rise in interest rates - insolvency rates will increase, and property prices fall through fire sales. THIS IS A SYMPTOM OF THE INCREASE IN CASH SUBSTITUTES, AND CANNOT BE AVOIDED, merely delayed.