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Scientific heresy : Comments
By Matt Ridley, published 4/11/2011How do you tell the difference between science and pseudoscience using global warming as an example.
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My approach is that one must consider the evidence and weigh the pros and cons, then exercise scientific judgment. Which theory fits in best with my previous scientific experience and training? So I come to a judgment which is not necessarily the same conclusions as that of other people. Not being a climate scientist I cannot think of experiment to decide between science of climate and the pseudoscience. But climate science is for the most part an observational and statistical discipline and presents little opportunity for direct controlled physical experiment.
The questions raised by some climate scientists are not themselves scientific; rather it is the interface between science and societal concerns. The adjective “dangerous”, or “lethal” to describe changes in global temperature, or by the same token radiation exposure are emotive not scientific terms. They determine a belief system. I cannot help but notice that the most prominent and vocal advocates of anthropogenic global warming are frequently of the political left. A further observation is that some climate scientists, who are committed to global warming theory, are not arguing the science, but have adopted the technics of political advocacy.
It is by no means clear to me that the prognostication of a catastrophic increase in global temperature is reasonable. Or that political intervention such a as a carbon tax will in some magical and miraculous manner avert an imaginary environmental disaster