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Tenuous US recovery doesn’t mean ‘double-dip’ recession is inevitable : Comments
By Saul Eslake, published 29/9/2010Australia depends far less on the US than it used to, which is just as well.
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I would be interested in your comments on the value of housing - which seems to be being kept at artificially high level. Some commentators believe that house prices need to halve to bring them back a level where they become affordable for young couples. 40 years ago a couple could buy and pay off a house on a single wage. Where have we gone wrong? Is it just that couples are simply “house racing” each other or are we now seeing the logical conclusion of unrestrained capitalism and the manipulation of the market by forces of greed?
Are house prices in the US being propped up to an unsustainable level by extraordinarily low interest rates? What would happen to housing prices in the US if interest rates get back to a level that encouraged saving? Surely America's false recovery will dive into recession (or worse) if property values fell to where they should be.
Steven