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Food security - what security? : Comments
By John Le Mesurier, published 22/9/2010How will a global population expected to reach 10 billion within the next 50 years be fed?
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I liked the bit about Ehrlich's warmings sparking a response that made a difference, although Bugsy was probably quoting some other deluded writer.
Ehrlich was hopelessly wrong in almost all his forecasts, not just about a food crisis. The interplay between food prices, technology and cultivation long pre-dates Ehrlich.
In any case, the author of teh article is perhaps not fully aware of some of the modern trends in agriculture - how land in the US and Australia is graudally shifting back towards forest use - but then he also seesm to have trouble with the basic numbers. The ABS source for population growth in Australia he cites gives top range estimate of 42.5 million by 2056. the detailed projection can be downloaded from the ABS sire. The projection for 2060 is about 44-45 million, not the 55-62 million he cites.