The Forum > Article Comments > Sink or swim > Comments
Sink or swim : Comments
By Kellie Tranter, published 10/5/2010Every now and then an issue comes along that is beyond the reach of politics. Rising sea levels is just such an issue.
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Let's assume that AGW is real and that what the article says is true, ie. sea levels will rise 2m over 100 years. With this hypothesis lets compare the resulting losses against losses caused by other catastrophic events. The important point that I'll try to plainly demonstrate is that the losses caused by sea-rise are non-existent in the big scheme of things due to the fact that it happens so slowly that people have more than enough time to react to it in a orderly, safe and controlled way. In otherwords, rising sea levels pose no real threat.
---EVENT--- : ---TIME TO RESPOND AFTER INITIAL WARNING SIGNS--- : ---LOSSES CAUSED---
1) Earthquake : Seconds to a couple of minutes : Extreme losses- many people die, most property lost. People don't have enough time to run to safety let alone save their property.
2) Bushfire : Minutes to hours : Heavy losses- very few people die, some small light important property saved (eg: photos, documents), pets saved but other animals lost. Most heavy/large mobile property lost, most fixed property (eg: buildings) lost
3) A new major dam : Years : Few losses (no economic loss overall)-- nobody dies, all mobile property saved, some important fixed structures saved but most fixed structures lost. However, even the though there are losses of buildings/other fixed structures, overall the economic gains caused by the new the dam outweigh the losses.
4) AGW caused sea-rise 2m/100years : Decades : Almost no losses of any sort (No loss overall)-- nobody dies, all mobile property saved, hardly any buildings/structure lost because they naturally decay before the rising tide gets to them. No loss overall because the economic activity that caused the tide-ride also leads to improvements in wealth, health and life style improvements that vastly outweigh any loss.
*Hopefully*, you now understand that rising-sea levels are not a problem.