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The Forum > Article Comments > The secret of sea level rise: it will vary greatly by region > Comments

The secret of sea level rise: it will vary greatly by region : Comments

By Michael Lemonick, published 8/4/2010

Predicted sea level rises resulting from climate change will not be uniform around the world.

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Where do these lunatics come from? First off, no-one is now predicting an increase of two metres over a century. The most they can find by stretching the calculations is one metre. The planning now being down in Australia is for a maximum rise of 0.8 metres. But there is good reason for thinking it may be less than 0.3 metres. Various pronouncements you may see about accelerations in sea level increases rely on differences between tidal guage and satellite measurements. Satellite measurements show an increase of 3.1 mm a year (0.3 metres over a century) with little change since the mid-70s (google Topex/Poseidon, the site is run by the University of Colorado in the US). Tidal guage data show 0.2 metres for all of the 20th century - ergo there must be some increase. More careful analysis of the tidal data shows that sea level increases comes in cycles - see Recent global sea level acceleration started over 200 years ago? by Svetlana Jevrejeva and others (Geophysical Research Letters, April 30, 2008. Its available online.) Sorry the watery apocalypse just isn't going to happen..
Posted by Curmudgeon, Thursday, 8 April 2010 11:33:37 AM
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You wonder why Climate Science has a credibility problem.

We constantly see these idiotic articles and no "Climate Scientists" comment on them or correct the "facts" they contain.

If an article is written by a skeptic, then everyone piles on, climate scientists (and other scientists) then comment and correct constantly. All the AGW believing armchair experts and frothing at the mouth activists all pile on as well, some of them occassionally stop with the insults to meander off onto pet peevs, mining pollution, big oil, whatever, that have nothing to do with climate science.

But if we see utter warmist rubbish, it is let through with no comment.

If you want climate science to have any credibility at all in the community, you have to comment on articles like this and correct them - otherwise it is quite obvious that any crap irrespective of accuracy or spin, is quite OK if it is seen as pro AGW.

That's why climate science has a credibility problem, it is selective in its response, in its analysis and its output.
Posted by Amicus, Thursday, 8 April 2010 1:09:58 PM
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My computer forecasts that every person who reads this blog will win Tattslotto.
Some notes on sea level change, especially referring to southern Australia
Prof R.M. (Bob) Carter. James Cook University
http://members.iinet.net.au/~glrmc/RMC%20-%20aspects%20of%20sea-level%20rise%20in%20southern%20Australia%20Z.pdf
It is observed that Professor Carter et al work conflicts with forecasts provided by the IPCC. The observation has to be made that Prof Carter’s research is based upon actual physical measurements and evidence. Nowhere is a computer forecast offered as evidence of anything..
May we return to reality rather than, as did Alice, wander through Wonderland?

South Pacific Sea Levels.
Dr Vincent Gray. New Zealand.
http://nzclimatescience.net/images/PDFs/spsl3.pdf
There is no discernable rise in sea levels.
Posted by phoenix94, Thursday, 8 April 2010 1:18:00 PM
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Damn now I've got to learn how to sail uphill.
Posted by keith, Thursday, 8 April 2010 1:23:10 PM
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To paraphrase Maggie Thatcher, just where are these sea-level rises?
Posted by Leigh, Thursday, 8 April 2010 3:35:40 PM
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I'm staggered. Who, really, is this dude? What planet is he living on?

Has he never heard of local subsidence/emergence affecting tide gauge readings? For example, it is well documented that in Adelaide drawing of water from the aquifers is causing local subsidence that appears to show rising sea levels. Not so.

Tectonic factors can also be important. How are these recognised and adjusted for.

I am totally sick of the superficial bs that these clowns direct at us. Always with an intent to scare us. Lets get real. Lets tell the truth. The whole truth. And nothing but the truth.

And please. Lets take into account local subsidence and emergence factors before we spruik on about 'global rises in sea level'. Come on.
Posted by Herbert Stencil, Thursday, 8 April 2010 8:55:36 PM
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