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North Korea’s nuclear tantrum : Comments
By Shim Jae Hoon, published 1/6/2009Kim Jong Il gambles with the world to gain recognition.
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Seems to have the authentic feel of a scholar who has good access to South Korean information. The nuances are there and a clearly stated picture of the "what to do" debate going on in China.
But there is still the feeling that Seoul, a short range missile flight away, and Japan a longer flight, from the North Korean border, have few choices other than upgraded anti-missile defences.
In Kim Jung Il's case the traditional American threat of nuclear destruction doesn't appear to be a viable deterrent. His opinion that his country is family property to be disposed as he wishes may be causing desperation among his people who do not wish to be part of the final transaction.
With the little boy God, now old, soon to croak anyway is little cause for celebration in either Korea. He (a few fries short of a Happy Meal) may simply wish to go out with a Bang.
Will North Koreans who want to live accede to his wish or at least tolerate the risk hanging over them? Probably yes - they know of no reality outside the world of the Kims and Kim's secret police are thorough. Like Egyptian court officials they may be prepared to die with their Pharaoh.
Looks like China has some covert work to do to prevent a regional nuclear funeral on its border.
Pete