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Kosovo Dominoes: World hotspots in a nutshell : Comments
By George Thomas, published 10/12/2004George Thomas argues that any declaration of independence in Kosovo would be dangerous for the international community.
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However, I do believe that the movement to nation-states is something that we can't ignore or stop. In my opinion an independence for Kosovo should be preceded by an exchange of territory, whereby Serbia gets the Serb north of Kosovo and Kosovo get the Presevo Valley. Ethnic borders have as the extra advantage that they take away a major motive for ethnic cleansing: fear of being dominated by "the others".
In general: a solution to an ethnic problem should be so that both sides think it is fair.
As for the ethnic history of Kosovo I think the author is wrong. Kosovo may have had a Serb majority centuries ago, but for lack of documents we cannot be sure about that. But around 1900 the Albanians had a solid majority. At the first population count after the territory came under Serb control in 1918 the Serbs constituted only 23% of the population. A Serb nationalistic policy resulted then in massive Serb immigration and emigration of an estimated 200.000 Albanians (mainly to Turkey). This had the effect that in 1939 the Serbs came to 49%. But during the Italian occupation the Albanians controlled the local affairs and they used that to drive out the new immigrants and to receive immigration from Northern Albania. As a consequence after the war the Serbs were back to a little above 20%.