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The power revolution - winners and losers : Comments
By Peter McCloy, published 27/5/2015I have a grazier friend who invested more than $1 million in solar panels for his properties in the earliest days of such schemes. They are returning 17 per cent per annum
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In a previous role, I worked as Technical Manager for one of the largest retailers of solar power at the time and designed and installed a large number of remote area (off-grid) power systems. The two major issues that had to be taken into account, as you point out, were batteries (the best tech of the day was the cylindrical electrode lead-acid batteries) and the trade-off between storage and backup generation. I put batteries into a separate category for two reasons; firstly, they are relatively fragile and a poorly maintained battery will be easily damaged. Second, they are relatively expensive and users nearly always want to underspecify capacity, which makes maintenance that much harder. In addition, training users to properly maintain unsealed liquid-electrolyte batteries is not trivial.
The Powerwall batteries that Musk is manufacturing remove most of those concerns. You're not quite correct to say they are the same as in Tesla cars, but they are similar in some ways. They are Lithium Polymer cells, which are maintenance-free and have high-levels of built-in "intelligence" to ensure that they operate optimally for durability. As a result, they are limited to relatively low rates of discharge (2kW) because household voltage is significantly lower than that of the Tesla car and it is high current that destroys batteries. Secondly, a LiPo battery can be charged to around 80% of capacity in a very short time, while getting the additional 20% takes much longer (this is the basis for the Tesla supercharge stations), and it also means that even small periods of sunshine will provide significant charge top-up to a LiPo installation, where a PbH+ battery requires high current for long periods to get much in at all.
Within a few years the price of battery storage will drop by around an order of magnitude. PV price per Watt will drop nearly as fast. As a result, backup generation will be increasingly seen as unnecessary.
And users won't require training.