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Syria in the fog of war : Comments
By Julie Bishop, published 28/2/2013The motivation for reports of the rebels' military victories is clearly part of an age-old tactic of undermining morale within the regime.
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Having a feel for the undercurrents of a complex conflict (as this article does) is more important than broadcasting the latest detailed headlines of the week.
Over the last few months I initially thought that the lack of direct Israeli-US-NATO intervention into Syria was due to Syria's lack of oil. However perhaps they don't want to intervene because they would have to choose between backing Iranian aligned Shiite opposition groups or al Qaeda style Sunni groups or both.
The rough formula for al Qaeda could be = many non-Syrian fighters+many/most identify as Sunni+who are increasingly using suicide bombing tactics. That formula increasing typifies the anti-Government struggle.
Israeli-US-NATO on a "careful what you wish for" keel may prefer that the existing Syrian Government, with or without President Assad, prevails. That Government, however cruel and dictatorial, is the "devil you know" for Israel-US-NATO.
Perhaps the Shiite/Hezbollah/Iranian aligned forces are holding back until the Sunni Opposition forces and Assad Government have sufficiently weakened each other.