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Labour pains looming in the economic fog : Comments
By Henry Thornton, published 8/2/2012Equity markets famously predict many more economic booms and busts than ever eventuate.
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I guess when you have a State of the Union address and an election bandwagon gearing up, as President, you need a better 'unemployment' number than that which is reality.
As for China, real-estate bubble has burst and will have a major impact internally in terms of social unrest and internal economic matters.
Never mind Greece in Europe, I suspect that Germany, another northern European country and perhaps France will exit the Euro before the middle of this year. Europe is a basket case and is unfixable. When will economists learn you can't fix a debt problem with more debt?
As for Australia, our one speed economy (resource sector) will slow considerably over the next year as China's main export market (Europe) slows further. When we learn to value add we may actually get a more balanced economy. The FIRE and remaining economy (tourism, retail etc) will continue to decline, our high Australian dollar will ensure this.
With a government hell bent on getting to surplus for no real reason things do not bode well for the coming year.
I will, as usual, reiterate my mantra, you cannot have continual growth on a finite planet, with an economy based on fractional reserve banking. We are hitting those limits to growth, yet the old Business As Usual model is all we consider. My two cents worth!