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Is this the way to finance green innovation? : Comments
By Tom Quirk, published 13/12/2011It may surprise most Australians, but universities are not the engines of research and development.
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As he suggests, their first step after examining their brief might be to walk away. Governments themselves have waxed and waned in their enthusiasm for R&D of all kinds. The current waxing phase is obviously politically motivated; the electorate has been seduced over several decades into a love affair with green energy and is now keener than ever to have that love requited. Alas, the chances are slim. Even if they were just average for R&D projects, those chances might reach 10% or so (but don't look for an authoritative number because even CSIRO cannot tell you their project success hit rate). But this time the success rate is likely to be even smaller for the simple reason that instead of the usual game of picking winners the government has decided to exclude them. That is, by quarantining CCS and staying silent on nuclear energy (which by the way the public is demanding be made safer, an obvious topic for productive research), the government has simply increased the prospects of backing losers.
The best advice one can give to anyone involved in setting up and running the Clean Energy Finance Corporation is to make sure they are properly indemnified.