The Forum > General Discussion > Turnbull, The Honeymoon Is Over.
Turnbull, The Honeymoon Is Over.
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Instead of raising interest rates to cover the hedge costs of a falling A Dollar, we now do nothing. Consequently Australian businesses borrow less from overseas and more locally, which drags it down so the expectation it will fall further goes away.
I don't know whether or not the government is technically still able to borrow in foreign currencies, but the point is it doesn't.
Greece's problems stem from it surrendering its financial sovereignty to the ECB. Now not only is the market unable to correct its trade imbalances, but it has limited credit, and the ECB are denying it the credit it needs to function efficiently.
Argentina's problems are quite different: rather than sticking with the sensible policy of having a freely floating currency, it tied its currency to the US dollar. This eventually led to hyperinflation when it was unable to keep up, and their economy is still overreliant on the US dollar.
"When currencies go down, costs of imports go up, the standard of living goes down accordingly"
This much is true, though it's not as bad as it may seem, as the decline in the standard of living is much less than the decline in the value of the currency, and the effect could be cancelled out by rises in the standard of living from other sources. It's certainly preferable to the much bigger decline in the standard of living that stems from cutting wages.
Keating's high interest rates were the result of his trying to stop a boom that was causing high inflation. But it was bad policy; the more sensible course of action would've been to temporarily lift the top rate of income tax.