We can tell Rudd has the conservatives rattled with the way the "usual suspects" are posting.

"Go for it and bet your house on the certainty you see before you. LOL" beach person.

"These polls are taken in Uni campuses" Indi
"fyi, even a totally flat battery still has a positive terminal. Rudd is that terminal in the ALP." more Indi

"what do you think has changed IN JUST TWO WEEKS that will fix all labor's wrongs? Now as for Tony Abbott debating Rudd, be fair now, he did say he would, but only when an election is called." Butch

Rudd has got them rattled.

"The Opposition leader, Mr Abbott, was forced to repay taxpayers nearly $9,400" Poirot, and to think I was going to vote for this felon. Thank you for pointing out his criminal activity for me. Oh, I am totally mortified that an almost member of the catholic clergy should be found stealing from the public purse, outrageous.
I am flabbergasted to think one so holy, Mr Abbott that is, would stoop to level of the common criminal classes.
An unnamed spokesman for Mr Abbott, was that Archy Pell speaking for his glove puppet? I can't go on, I'm to distraught over this appalling news about Mr Abbott. I'll take a Bex, with a cup of tea and have a good lie down. This has totally shattered my faith in one so holy, that's it I'll never vote Liberal again.

Folks let us all put some thought in to our posts on this subject.
Clearly I want Labor to win.
Just as clearly think they can.
But look at some things said here.
It is my view, any one, who said the polls are wrong, needs to with draw from the thread.
Such comment is evidence of no understanding of the subject.
And reread, search for such comments and you will see the very same folk gloated about the polls, when they went the other way.
Our personal wishes and biases will not change the truth.
Like the ALP Liberals have a leader unwanted out in the electorate.
Some in the ALP even thought Gillards sometimes lead over Abbott meant electoral Victory.
Gillards removal has left Abbott naked before an electorate ever ready to dislike him.
Will Labor win?
I think/hope so.
Watch however who leads the Liberals, how bad/ugly the Murdock press becomes ,a history of bias exists there, Murdock as was his father, wants power in politics, it can have a bearing.
To be honest with Abbott leading Labor can not be beaten.
With Turnbull, free to have his policy,s and dump those he wishes to?
Close run race.

Dear Belly,

I agree with Paul.

Rudd does have them rattled.

I just heard Joe Hockey saying on national television
that in order to avoid the rising prices of petrol
Rudd should call "an early election."

It seems that calls for an "early election," is the
current mantra of the Libs replacing even the
carbon tax, and "we'll stop the boats," hymns.

Voters need to hear these things and judge for
themselves who really deserves to govern.

I support Labour all the time the very best party to vote for. But I'm definitely not going to vote for this Rudd, I think he's a very evil strange guy, who only wants to get into the United Nations and that's all. He thinks only of himself not Australian people at all. He has this giant ego, all about him him him! And not Australian people at all, My mates reckon hes a bit crazy about his power and more power. Be careful about this very evil man, a very dangereous man at that is Rudd the dud!

Dear misanthorpe,

Here's Mr Abbott:

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/abbott-forced-to-repay-travel-expenses-20130707-2pk9b.html

http://theaimn.com/2013/05/01/may-day-may-day/

http://theaimn.com/2013/01/19/never/

http://www.independentaustralia.net./2012/politics/tony-abbott-and-his-slushy-question-of-character/

Your choice of course.

Yes, Lexi & Poirot,

Labor may retain almost all its seats, except a few which are up for grabs with new Labor candidates. And except for Thompson's. And, of course, they won't win Oakeshott's or Windsor's. Well, that pulls it down to barely 65 to 85.

So, unless they can actually take half a dozen, or even a dozen, seats FROM the Coalition, they may still lose the election: let's say 70 to 75 might be the best they can expect, plus a few Independents, Katter and maybe Crook ? - effectively 70 to 80.

I hope my local Labor member keeps his seat, for the record. But once this the rampant passion of this honeymoon starts to fade, then the chance of victory fades. So the earlier they go, the better. IMHO.

And even if Labor loses this one, the more they can hold, the better they can recover. Live and learn, and plan for 2016.

Cheers,

Joe