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The Forum > General Discussion > The future of iran

The future of iran

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An interesting thread so far.
Iran will not be able to do what it wants with so many other countries in the world willing to condone sanctions against it.

All countries these days cannot thrive unless they have a thriving trade for imports and exports, and if this is curtailed, their people's way of life will be adversely affected and this will cause even more discontent internally.
I agree there could be a civil war in Iran soon because of this.

Another interesting question is who is ordering/carrying out these killings of Iran's nuclear scientists/personnel?

Iran's Government are hell-bent on blaming all those 'evil Western Governments' for these murders, but what if they are being planned and carried out by someone from their own country?
Posted by Suseonline, Sunday, 15 January 2012 10:20:22 PM
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Yes interesting and focused refreshing.
OUG mate, too many links, think not one of us can look at that many at once.
Posted by Belly, Monday, 16 January 2012 4:45:24 AM
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Yes internal uprising is about all that is going to delay or stop a strike now. Even an uprising may serve to blind a strike at nuclear facilities. Iran threatening the arabs for upping oil output. I think the regime has got to go as well, to few people with the ultimate power.
Posted by 579, Monday, 16 January 2012 7:25:23 AM
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Yes finding the responses refreshing and balanced.
We however do not live in that country and under the conditions its people do.
Seems to me both fundamentalist and freedom lovers live there.
And too that as said several times here, it will be decided by who ever controls the country what fate awaits them, good luck freedom lovers.
Posted by Belly, Monday, 16 January 2012 4:03:16 PM
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icedragon,

(Will the iran nuclear crisis turn into a disaster?)
There's no "crisis" - just political brinkmanship at work setting the stage for a possible future event.

(Will their military actually block the Strait of Hormuz?)
That's what the whole Middle East conflict is about. If you can't own the resources outright, then you have to control the supply. This is what the Russia/Georgia conflict over Ossetia was really about - a pipeline that would have bypassed Russia's distribution monopoly from the Caspian by now going directly into Turkey.

(Will Israel bomb their nuclear facilities?)
Why not? They've done it before in Iraq and Syria.

(Why does an oil-rich country need atomic power?)
The US & France convinced the Shah that he needed it and sold them the reactors accordingly. Unfortunately once you have more than two reactors, it becomes uncommercial unless you do your own refining.
Iran expects to be exporting $1billion of electrical power into Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Pakistan, Nakhichevan, Turkey and Turkmenistan later this year and into Russia next year.

(Will a nuclear iran trigger a Sunni nation arms race?)
Iran is not an Arab state but what Arab states are suggesting this is going to happen?

Ironically, Iran and Israel were once "natural allies" and developed missile systems together.

To gain perspective history should be examined over decades, not over short-term news cycles, particularly those controlled by self-interest groups.

This is looking rather like another "WMD" scenario.
Posted by rache, Monday, 16 January 2012 8:48:56 PM
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rache that, to me, looks like a press release from a self interested group.
You had to go back to a far different form of government to find common ground .
And while you recommend looking to the past,my fear is this part of the world is intensely interested in just that.
Continuing to look way back to the Crusades to define todays thoughts.
The ak47 in use miss information and lies, will not in the end hide this nations intentional confrontations.
Posted by Belly, Tuesday, 17 January 2012 5:57:27 AM
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