The Forum > General Discussion > Is the Australian Economy really in good shape?
Is the Australian Economy really in good shape?
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Yabby “Afford” is a curious word in that at the time you mention we were running a balanced current account and we could afford what we consumed, unemployment was a real 1.5%. What we can’t afford is the current situation where this country borrows a billion dollars a year so we can keep a huge number of people near or bellow the poverty line wasting their productive capabilities that’s what I call “lazy”. We are now and until our credit runs out a successful “cargo cult”. The concept of the “lazy manufacturing industry” has been shown to be a furphy by the last thirty years of current account deficits.
What of that deficit? The banks borrow the foreign currency to cover it and in the long term the creditors hope that we will eventually earn sufficient foreign currency to pay them back. But we have been running continuous deficits for 32.5 years! The banks are then stuck with the Aussie dollars that they changed, what have they done with these? They have aggressively lent them out and people have bid up the price of real estate all over the country to unaffordable levels! People have also bid up other assets to ridiculous levels! The banks are running out of borrowers. Also our interest rates must maintain a margin above the US rate.
Yes a few tens of thousands of people could get jobs in Western Australia, but there are a few million in unemployment or underemployment trouble.
On technology, in 1966 we were third on the space race podium being the third country to launch a satellite Wresat. Now who do we buy a nuclear reactor from? Argentina! There is currently an exodus of solar voltaic experts. Yes we have a handful of high tech companies. But no country in the world has developed technology without government help, this includes USA Europe, Japan, China, India etc. Where would we need to look now to find a country as technologically unsophisticated as Australia? Probably West Africa!