The Forum > General Discussion > Is the Australian housing bubble about to burst?
Is the Australian housing bubble about to burst?
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Recent economic data suggests that house prices in Australia are declining quicker that the US at the same point in time - we are just at the very beginning of the downward spiral.
Of course, don't expect the "experts" or "industry leaders" to admit this. Nor should you expect any unbiased media reports about Australia's housing crisis - the MSM have been a part of this pyramid scheme from the start (whatever would they do without all that lucrative real estate advertising?). In short, all the above parties have a vested interest in talking up the market.
In many places in Australia prices have almost trebled since 2000. Whereas houses were around 3 times average annual earnings, or less, the Australian average is now 6.6 times. (This compares with an average American value of 3.7 times – which commentators there have called possibly their biggest housing bubble in history.)
The bigger the boom, the bigger the bust.
Some speculators are no doubt hoping that high immigration will keep the market afloat. High immigration has certainly been a factor behind Australia's hyperactive property market, with speculators lobbying for the continous importation of cashed-up buyers to keep demand running red hot even after locals have been priced out of the market. But this situation clearly cannot continue. The Rudd Government will find itself with no choice but to cut back on immigration as the economy falls into recession and unemployment rises.
So, forget the nonsense about Australia being somehow immune from the housing market crashes currently being experienced in the United States and Western Europe. We are in for a messy market correction.