WTF specifically said the fossil fuel industry was uninterested in responding to Trump's efforts to expand.... "The simple reality is Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" isn't causing the fossil fuel industry to meet increased needs. They seem uninterested."

I specifically responded to that one comment. Do try to keep up.

Sure, mhaze, you responded to that specific wording.

The broader point being discussed, though, wasn't about anyone's motives or interest levels, but about time horizons and marginal signals versus total stock. Narrowing it to a single sentence doesn't really address why the same distinction keeps being raised.

Do try to keep up.

"Sure, mhaze, you responded to that specific wording."

Red letter day. JD backs down.

No, I didn't, mhaze.

//JD backs down.//

Read the rest of what I said.

https://www.facebook.com/reel/862518643076747

For better understanding ! The Trump Tarifs etc.

Indyvidual,

I'm afraid Beck's commentary there will only serve lead people further astray. It's not analysis so much as narrative immunisation.

His "I see patterns" claim gave me a bit of a chuckle, because the part of our brain responsible for pattern recognition is over-active in conspiracy theorists - which causes them to see patterns that aren't there.

Beck's move is to reclassify every consequence - market instability, ally backlash, diplomatic fallout - as proof that a hidden strategy is "working". That makes the story unfalsifiable. If things go well, Trump is a genius. If things go badly, it just means the rot was deeper than we thought and the stress test succeeded.

That isn't pattern recognition, it's post-hoc meaning-making. Real strategy produces testable expectations, trade-offs, and constraints. This produces only reassurance that whatever happens was always the plan.

You don't need a conspiracy to explain why institutions built for stability react badly to deliberate destabilisation. And calling chaos a stress test doesn't turn it into one - it just relabels the risk after the fact.

We've seen this kind of retrofitting of strategy to Trump's impulsive behaviour and dangerously disorganised thinking a few times before on OLO, and my response to it on those occasions was still as valid as it is here:

Trump has no idea what he's doing, which is why his faithful have so many different theories as to what it could be.

He's a child who never fully developed into an adult.