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Copenhagen: a warning from the history of Earth : Comments
By Andrew Glikson, published 7/12/2009We may never understand the rationale for a species to render the atmosphere, the lungs of the Earth, unsuitable for its own future.
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Contrary to a widely held view of climate scientists, I believe we have already reached a point where we can no longer limit global temperature to a +2C increase or 450ppm of CO2-e by 2100 or avoid significant melting of the east Antarctic ice sheet.
The Grace satellites have already confirmed that the Antarctic ice caps are melting and seem destined to continue doing so more rapidly. Without taking this into account, the Committee on Climate notes at Chapter 2 of its Report that sea level can be expected to rise by over 1m. by 2100, placing over 200,000 coastal properties in Queensland alone at risk of inundation.
With anticipated failure of countries to adequately reduce CO2-e emissions, there is good reason to believe that accelerated melting of polar ice will occur and that the predicted 1m. rise in sea level will occur long before 2100. Indeed the view has been expressed that global sea level will rise by more than 2m. by 2100 and with good reason.
As for the oft heard call by politicians that we must learn to live with and adapt to climate change, perhaps Premier Anna Bligh of Queensland (responsible for the worlds’ highest per capita emissions) would like to explain how we are to adapt when housing is drowned by rising sea levels, how the economy is going to operate when transport infrastructure is destroyed and how we are to cope with flooding of coastal agricultural land and fresh water sources?