The Forum > Article Comments > Living better than the kids > Comments
Living better than the kids : Comments
By Wendell Cox, published 26/11/2009The next generation of Australians will have to pay much more of their income for housing than their parents.
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The purchase price : income ratio is no guide to “affordability”
Affordability is only determinable after the interest cost is included,
because
the vast majority of houses are purchased using borrowed money in the form of an interest bearing mortgage
and
at an average rate of 10% interest pa, a 30 year constant repayment loan (the usual sort) the interest burden will represent 68.3% of total all repayments
or even
at an average rate of 6% interest pa, a 30 year constant repayment loan (the usual sort) the interest burden will represent 53.5% of total of all repayments
pretending that, for some reason, the ratio between a median house price to the buyers income is the only factor to be considered in "affordability" is the deceptive product of either spindoctor cynicism or moronic stupidity
either way, neither is a justification for perpetrating a lie
further, whilst banks continue to lend on the basis of around 50% of after tax income or 30% pretax income (as has been their practice for decades, with no indication of future change), the notion that there will be a difference, over time between housing affordability for the next generation from the current is complete and utter garbage.
Prices of housing go up and down, in response, not just to household incomes nut also because of interest rates, which keep “affordability” as more a constant than the "variable", which is hypothesized here.
The data sources here are also doubtful.
I lived just outside the DFW metropolis in 1999-2001, the population was over 10 million, not the 5.5 million used in this blatant exercise in emotional puerility.
Another factor everyone must consider is
the US has a recent history of “jingle mail” which has depressed recent housing prices and caused a financial crisis.
The influence of such laws, which were not been enacted in Australia do influence international comparisons, especially price trends over time, between Australia and USA,
further invalidating the simplistic assertions of the article.