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Trusting in history or computer modelling? : Comments
By James Fairbairn, published 16/9/2009Climate change: how can historian's tell us one story and the mass media, governments and scientists tell us the opposite?
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The skeptics have responded occasionally in kind, however, and that is to be regretted. That just makes things worse.
Mac - the point about the computer models is that they are being used to forecast but they are completely unverified. they have no history of successful forecasting of any kind. The other proof you cite simply shows that temperatures are high at the moment.
One point you make worthy of note is that scientists have summed all the influences on climate they know off and can only explain recent increases by the concidental increase in CO2 - quite so. Correct as far as it goes. The problem is that they may not know all the influences. That's what the argument has been about. They know there must be other factors that have made climate vary in ancient times, but basically don't know what it is - why does the earth flip in and out of ice ages, why has the current intergalacial been so long - yet they have gone ahead and made forecasts anyway. The whole thing is set for a public policy disaster.