The Forum > Article Comments > Population: a big problem but easy to solve > Comments
Population: a big problem but easy to solve : Comments
By Peter Ridd, published 13/8/2009Australia's population growth should be considered an economic and environmental problem of huge proportions.
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Excellent summary ; should be read by every politician ( but doubts on nuclear).
A couple of points:
1. Needs to be emphasised that our high immigration policy does not have popular mandate. It is clearly Gov. policy, but no Party or Gov. dares to seek endorsement for it. Reason is simple, they know they do not have one. So "Policy" is totally undemocratic.
2. Many eminent persons have arrived at cost benefits of immigration; eg Bob Birrol (yesterdays Australian) and Access. But analyses do not take account of infrastructure costs. Every resident, tourist, immigrant, student requires supporting infrastructure in order to function. Never have I seen the cost of this included in any analysis; yet it is almost certainly the highest cost of all to the nation in this context.
Governments are keen to capture the benefits of high population growth for their big Business mates, but not so keen to fund infrastructure to the "non diluting" level required, if existing population is not to be disadvantaged. Overcrowded Public transport and worsening hospital service are examples of this.
I estimate each new resident requires of the order of $300,000 to $500,00 in infrastructure expenditure, if current standards are to be maintained. If I am right then this clearly destroys the positive analyses (these are mostly very marginal anyway).
I cannot prove my numbers beyond doubt, since there are no Government statistics at all on this ( please anyone correct me if I am wrong). However a recent report, commissioned by the state Department of Planning, cites research that found "for every 1000 dwellings, the cost for infill development (in existing suburbs) is $309 million and the cost of fringe developments is $653 million".
Thus a relatively small part of total infrastructure costs $ 653, 000 per household for each new fringe household , or say $170, 000 per new person. This cost mainly falls to State and Federal Governments and is met from taxes and represents lost investements for the benefit of existing populations.
I wish some Academic institution would give more thought to this issue.