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How the West was lost : Comments
By Kevin Rennie, published 10/9/2008Alan Carpenter may yet form a minority government. Let's hope that if he gets another chance to fulfil his potential, it is not wasted.
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First, the West Australian newspaper ran a strong anti-government war against the Richard Court govt in the lead-up to the 2001 election. It got stuck into Doug Shave, minister for Fair Trading, for his failure to act on the mortgage brokers scandal and it destroyed the Coalition on its forest policies as a result of the state govt's attempts to bring in a Regional Forest Agreement. The end result was a win to the ALP's Geoff Gallop. The West Australian's only bias is to sell newspapers and attack whoever is the govt of the day.
Second, don't get too hung up on the Nationals' so-called excellent result. Their lower house representation dropped from 5 to 4 seats, so it was the upper house where they actually did very well, rising from 1 to 5 seats. And normally it would be significant if the Greens increased their vote by 4.1% but, for the first time in 15 or 20 years, their preferences were pretty evenly split between the Libs and ALP, compared to an 80% or higher flow to Labor in past elections. I interpret this to mean that many non-ALP voters were voting Greens as a protest but they weren't true Greens supporters and won't be unlikely to vote the same way at the next election.