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The Forum > Article Comments > Rage, rage against dimming of the light > Comments

Rage, rage against dimming of the light : Comments

By David Solomon, published 15/5/2007

It may have been symbolic and feel-good but there's evidence that Sydney's Earth Hour was a statistical flop.

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I have to agree with you saintfletcher. Sydney has voted for a real dill there. I bet she has a large "carbon footprint" too...

She's right up there with Justin Madden and his McMansion comments.
Posted by alzo, Saturday, 19 May 2007 1:31:35 PM
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Liam displays the usual partial grasp of the brief when he claims, "Ocean warming to date is much closer to 0.5C, and that amounts to a huge mass of water, phenomenal amount of heat. http://www.oceansalive.org/explore.cfm?subnav=article&contentID=4704 "For one, ocean surface temperatures worldwide have risen on average 0.9 degrees Fahrenheit, or 0.5 degrees Celsius".

Bollocks, apparently you have not heard of the thermocline, the upper layer of ocean where heat is actually absorbed. This varies between zero and 1000m thick. Below this there is ZERO additional warming due to penetrating heat. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermocline

So while the surface water may have increased by 0.5C the average increase over the upper 700m of ocean is only 0.1C. The other 3,300 metres of average ocean depth is unchanged. You, and all the sea level scarenario punters, have wrongly assumed that the change in surface temperature is replicated over the entire ocean profile. It is not, and that is why the IPCC has pulled its head in big time on the whole issue of sea level rise.

When you multiply the volume of the upper 700m layer of the worlds oceans (255 million km3) by 1/10th of the coefficient of warming for water (0.00021/10) we get a very modest volume expansion of only 5355 Km3 which, when spread over our 365 million Km2 of ocean, amounts to a total sea level rise from thermal expansion of only 14.67mm over the past half century.

In contrast, the annual precipitation over Antarctica of 50mm takes 760 Km3 out of the oceans each year which amounts to an annual drop in sea level of 2.0mm or equivalent to a 10 centimetre drop over the past half century. Luckily, glacial ice, subglacial lakes, and ice fall from the edges appears to have been significant enough to offset this sea level decline. But that did not stop the climate cretins from reporting the latter as a portent of catastrophe.
Posted by Perseus, Sunday, 20 May 2007 12:01:36 PM
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