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Great Barrier Reef threatened: so where is the evidence? : Comments
By Walter Starck, published 28/4/2005Walter Starck argues there is doubt as to whether the Great Barrier Reef was ever under threat.
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But there are two big problems here. FIRST - there was no such thing as "pre-industrial levels" of climate. Our climate is ever-fluctuating. We are currently on a 300-year warming trend since the 'Quiet Sun' of the Maunder Minimum, over-printed by a 50-70 year cold/warm fluctuation driven by variable upwelling in the Pacific. (The last steps were cooling from the 1940s, and warming from 1976/77.) SECOND - not even King Canute could succeed in "stabilizing the earth's climate" unless he first stabilises the Sun. Paving Australia with wind farms won't do it.
The interesting thing is that solar eruptive activity (the principal driver of climate) can be calculated. If the Sun keeps playing by the rules as we now understand them - and it might not, of course - the next Little Ice Age (cold) period of reduced solar activity (Landscheidt Minimum) should be with us by about 2030. We might then need to call on Canute to warm things up a bit