The Forum > Article Comments > Hold onto your hats: As Trump 2.0 nears, we should be afraid. Very afraid. > Comments
Hold onto your hats: As Trump 2.0 nears, we should be afraid. Very afraid. : Comments
By Remy Davison, published 14/11/2024Despite promises to turbocharge the economy, Trump saw job losses in every year of his presidency – 2017, 2018 and 2019 – even when the disastrous COVID data of 2020 is excluded.
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I think Trump’s economic policies will be a disaster for the USA and bad news for the rest of us (if he actually carries them out – his record last time round was that his actions were not quite as bad as his pre-election policies). Tariffs hurt the poor and working people most and will increase prices. Mass deportation will wreak havoc with the labour market. Weakening the independence of the Fed will probably make inflation worse.
But you are right that that Davidson’s misunderstanding of the employment data is factually and monumentally incorrect.
For the record the has been only one period since WW2 in which the USA recorded three consecutive years of falling employment – at the time at the dot-com bubble/crash in 2010.
http://data.bls.gov/dataViewer/view/timeseries/LNU02000000
I find it inconceivable that an academic whose job title is “Chair in Politics and Economics at Monash University”
a) Doesn’t understand what a fairly basic article on economic statistics is actually saying;
b) Didn’t have a half-competent colleague, student or friend to help with some fact checking; and
c) Was so unfamiliar with the US economy – or the developed economies in general - that he didn’t realise immediately that this cannot be true.