The Forum > Article Comments > The 2016-17 budget admits defeat > Comments
The 2016-17 budget admits defeat : Comments
By John Stone, published 26/5/2016In 2016-17 the Commonwealth net debt to GDP ratio is forecast to be the highest since 1970-71 (as far back as the budget papers data go).
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"You think John Stone, an ex-head of Treasury before he went into politics, is an idiot."
Yes, based on what he said here I think it's pretty clear. He has failed to comprehend the consequences of floating the Australian dollar even though he was in charge of the Treasury when it was done.
"I can understand what John Stone says, but I cannot follow your idea that there is no problem with borrowing money in 'the currency the country prints'. What do you mean?"
Regardless of how big Australia's debt is, Australia can ALWAYS borrow as many Australian dollars as it needs because it owns the Reserve Bank which creates them. So even if nobody else was willing to buy bonds (which is itself an extremely unlikely situation) we can always borrow directly from the Reserve Bank.
Generally the government borrows on the bond markets instead of directly from the Reserve Bank, partly for historical reasons (from before the dollar was floated) and partly because it's good for bank liquidity. But it always can with no adverse consequences. Unfortunately because it's one of the last things governments resort to when their economies collapse, there's a widespread myth that it's the cause of the collapse, even though that doesn't stand up to even the most basic scrutiny.
"When your claim is never made by anyone else in the business, I'm left wondering why."
The claim has been made on Lateline and in the SMH, but not in great depth. I'm often left wondering why those who contradict it aren't questioned further on the matter.