The National Forum   Donate   Your Account   On Line Opinion   Forum   Blogs   Polling   About   
The Forum - On Line Opinion's article discussion area



Syndicate
RSS/XML


RSS 2.0

Main Articles General

Sign In      Register

The Forum > Article Comments > Spending addiction includes defence > Comments

Spending addiction includes defence : Comments

By David Leyonhjelm, published 8/3/2016

While both the government and opposition are busy comparing innovative ways to hold everybody by the ankles and shake them, they don't have a true appreciation of just how much money is already falling out of our pockets.

  1. Pages:
  2. 1
  3. Page 2
  4. All
snake,

I agree that a large proportion of the electorate is ignorant of the ramifications and consequences of the decisions made by the promises of the government they're voting for. Your comments show you're one of that group. You think you understand the ramifications, but you've merely fallen for myths.

Even if we had no debt, you could still argue that the government should spend less than the revenue it receives, so that it can collect interest enabling more spending in future. Would you? If not, why not?

There's a lot more to economics than just finance. Leaving human needs unmet is a bad thing. Neglecting the infrastructure and education spending that would make our economy more productive is a false economy. And having a lot of people idle because nobody is willing to spend the money to employ them is a very bad thing.

Can't you see that it's much better for the government to spend money now when the private sector's weak than later when the private sector's strong? Spending money now will ensure more people are employed, so we get more tax revenue. Those people will spend most of the money they earn, strengthening the private sector and again resulting in more tax revenue. But if the government spending until after the private sector recovers, it will have to employ people who would otherwise be employed by the private sector; not only will there be no new tax revenue, but competition for employees will push up wages unless the government deliberately weakens the private sector by raising interest rates. Either way it works out far more expensive than spending the money now.

If you're still not convinced, how low do you think interest rates would have to go before it would be better to spend the money immediately?
Posted by Aidan, Thursday, 10 March 2016 12:28:18 PM
Find out more about this user Visit this user's webpage Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
Rhosty,

"Nuclear submarines can operate in shallow water if the inboard coolant is helium."
What is the source for that claim?

"However, why in heaven name would anybody want to sail subs in shallow water? Where they'd be incredibly vulnerable, when they could used in deep water and use sound proofing, plus total mechanical inactivity to make them virtually invisible laying on the bottom?"
Shallow water is where they do the useful work. And unlike nuclear subs, diesel subs can turn their engines off and run on battery power, making them virtually undetectable.

And yes, we could use nuclear subs like underwater aircraft carriers, but doing so would be more expensive than having a fleet of fully capable diesel subs. Submarines can never do what aircraft are able to.

Saying we have spending addiction and unresolvable debt issues is like saying someone without anorexia has food addiction and unresolvable eating issues. There is no problem to solve.
Posted by Aidan, Thursday, 10 March 2016 12:45:16 PM
Find out more about this user Visit this user's webpage Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
I am really having difficulty in understanding what you are trying to explain Aidan.
It appears to me that you are suggesting some kind of Keynesian programme of government borrowing to pay for all the things the electorate would like to have with the theory that it would kick start the economy. If this is correct, and I'm not sure this is what you are endorsing, I can only point to the fact that you reach a point that so many countries already have, such as Japan the EU and China who have tried this and it hasn't worked. This is because debt has totally over ridden the growth it was designed to support.

Governments are now desperate to create inflation and have also entered into a currency wars by devaluation. Interest rates have become negative world wide and this can only end badly.

The whole world is floating on a sea of debt. Something that has never happened to the same extent in modern times and yet people think that it can all be cured by even more debt. It's crazy thinking.
Posted by snake, Thursday, 10 March 2016 5:37:58 PM
Find out more about this user Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
snake,
"It appears to me that you are suggesting some kind of Keynesian programme of government borrowing to pay for all the things the electorate would like to have with the theory that it would kick start the economy."
Correct. And if you think that's not the best course of action, I suggest you try answering my questions — doing so might make you reconsider some of your positions, and even if it doesn't I'd be interested to know why you believe what you do.

"If this is correct, and I'm not sure this is what you are endorsing, I can only point to the fact that you reach a point that so many countries already have, such as Japan the EU and China who have tried this and it hasn't worked. This is because debt has totally over ridden the growth it was designed to support. "
That's a totally illogical explanation; it doesn't fit the facts at all.

It has worked so far in China.
It  has worked to some extent  in Japan, but they were initially too hesitant to try it  in a big way, and their taxation policy has undermined their efforts.

In the EU, they've done almost the exact opposite. They've prevented Eurozone governments from deficit spending in a big way, and non-Eurozone governments have been reluctant to do so.

"Governments are now desperate to create inflation and have also entered into a currency wars by devaluation. Interest rates have become negative world wide and this can only end badly."
Creating inflation is not the objective; increasing economic activity is.

Governments have an irrational phobia  of debt, so instead of sensibly taking on a lot more of it, they've implemented silly policies like negative interest rates to encourage others to take on debt instead.

(tbc).
Posted by Aidan, Thursday, 10 March 2016 9:24:19 PM
Find out more about this user Visit this user's webpage Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
snake (continued)

There is also far too much concern about currency wars. In the long term the markets set currency values. Governments should set policies to promote growth; if the markets react by devaluing the currency, so be it.

"The whole world is floating on a sea of debt. Something that has never happened to the same extent in modern times and yet people think that it can all be cured by even more debt. It's crazy thinking."
Apart from the small amount of  money that's physical cash, the world's money supply only comes into existance as debt. Where the problem is insufficient money, there are only four solutions: replace the entire financial system with something completely different, physically print/mint much more money, try to make everyone work for less money, or keep expanding gross debt for ever.

No adequate replacement financial system's ever been proposed, and there's no chance of getting everyone to agree to one anyway. Physical cash is more difficult to work with in large amounts and is more expensive than electronic interbank transactions, and is harder for governments to compensate for if they overdo it. Making everyone work for less money ultimately makes everyone worse off, and it hits the poor the hardest. So ever more debt is the best option. There is nothing to stop the ability to service debt from growing.
Posted by Aidan, Thursday, 10 March 2016 9:37:03 PM
Find out more about this user Visit this user's webpage Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
Aidan

Thanks for your comment. Unfortunately I don't have the time to try and explain my position which is held by many economists, although not many in the main-stream press I fear. This is not a way of avoiding a reply. Economics cannot be explained in a forum such as this in a couple of paragraphs.

If you want a brief explanation of why I am not confident of the way central banks are manipulating the world economy and creating chaos in the financial world, I suggest you listen to Alan Greenspan here being interviewed and his take on the situation going forward. The interview is very recent.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8sI1DQvvZ8&feature=youtu.be&inf_contact_key=6189ca75155c1c4f2f9faa362abcc049ef3c94640b76003d806f61e0fff1529c
Posted by snake, Thursday, 10 March 2016 9:46:52 PM
Find out more about this user Recommend this comment for deletion Return to top of page Return to Forum Main Page Copy comment URL to clipboard
  1. Pages:
  2. 1
  3. Page 2
  4. All

About Us :: Search :: Discuss :: Feedback :: Legals :: Privacy