The Forum > Article Comments > Andrews Labor victory means challenges and opportunities for change > Comments
Andrews Labor victory means challenges and opportunities for change : Comments
By Tristan Ewins, published 1/12/2014Arguably no state government in the country has secured the revenue necessary to sustain government provision of public infrastructure over the long term.
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In future it would be more productive if, instead of accusing me of circularity, you asked why I've assumed x? But before you do, please check to make sure I actually have assumed x.
As for your main point, it's good to see you're thinking clearly at last!
I recognise the need for comparison against alternative options including the option of doing nothing. Indeed there are road schemes in four states that I'm currently opposed to, and for three of those (including the one the new Victorian premier has pledged to cancel) I'd support a cheaper version. I used to be of the view that the best solution was a cost:benefit ratio analysis, but since then I've seen how they often get perverse results based on dodgy assumptions (such as the one that used a ridiculously high (8%) discount rate to justify the use of FTTN on the NBN).
I now think the most appropriate measure would be the ratio of internal rate of return to regionally appropriate interest rate. By regionally appropriate I mean the interest rate should be adjusted to take account of resource scarcity/abundance (which usually means labour scarcity/abundance as most other things can be moved fairly cheaply). For instance it may be appropriate to use a rate of 3.5% in Sydney (where the economy is going comparatively well) but only 0.5% in Adelaide (where the unemployment rate is higher).