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Lurking beneath Australia's AAA economy... : Comments
By Kellie Tranter, published 25/6/2013If the banks are hunky dory why is it necessary to set up a $380 billion emergency fund and, more importantly, is it enough in light of possible derivatives exposure?
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Actually,my reply was to your silly claim that Australia is somehow intrinsically lacking in the capacity to invest in productive industry sectors. As I pointed out, we have had the money to invest in non-productive sectors and to give it away to encourage consumption of imports.
To put it in terms you seem to be able to grasp, we’ve spent the money that we should have used to fix the damp rot in the floor joists under the sideboard to buy some beautiful lace doilies and magnificent crystal fruit bowl to put on top of it and we’ve smashed up the Sheraton furniture that our parents gave us (what were they thinking? Ikea is so much nicer and they’ll even send someone to put it together for you while you watch) to prop up the sagging sideboard.
Your argument is that this is fine, because it’s only the living room that’s rotting, which we hardly use any more and besides, the bank said we can increase the mortgage anytime, so who cares?
“If you actually think about this, you would need to increase the number of men in the workforce to achieve this outcome. Any thoughts on where you might find them?”
Thanks for asking.
http://www.economics.unimelb.edu.au/staff/jib/documents/Dimensionsetc.pdf
Have a look at Figure 4, old chap, if that’s not too much trouble. It shows that male employment between 1967 and 1997 declined from around 85% to below 70%, while during the same time female employment rose from around 35% to 50%. That means that there was no net increase in the proportion of the total population in work. Male jobs were lost at the same rate as female jobs were created. Far from needing to increase the number of men, we only needed work for the ones we had.
In case you missed the point of that, you might like to look at the same chart, which shows that the rate of female full-time employment remained largely unchanged, at around 25-30%.