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Polling and the US Presidential election: who will win? : Comments
By Jo Coghlan, published 6/11/2012Polling can't tell us who will win the US presidency but voters in Florida might know.
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The evidence is overwhelming. There has been massive manipulation of the right and opportunity of voters to actually cast their votes. That effort has been directed at persons who might reasonably be expected to vote for Obama rather than Romney. There are multiple law suits already in the system challenging these voter manipulation laws. Whether they have any effect remains to be seen.
The author also completely fails to discuss the role of voting machines. Again the evidence is overwhelming. They are corrupt and have demonstrably been used to favour Republicans. They are the reason Bush the Lesser "won" in 2004. Jimmy Carter's organisation, which has overseen many foreign elections, refuses to participate in the US one because, as he says, there is no means of checking the veracity of the results.
As commentators above have noted however, it probably does not make an iota of difference which of the two main horses is actually declared the winner: the real decisions will continue to be made elsewhere, and the myth of American democracy will die another death.