Joe,

"...maybe even from Ecuador, than from Sweden..."

Well hee, hee, hee...I don't think so.

Hi Dan

Probably yes.

Plan A (to be tried first) would be voluntary Ecuadorian extradition based on a formulation (or reformulation) of Ecuador's existing laws.

Plan B would be more extended US political pressure prevailing on Ecuador to retrospectively change its extradition laws to speed Assange's passage to Quantico Virginia.

And then there's Plan C "extraordinary rendition" from Ecuador to Quantico. Plan C involves Obama or Romney after November(?) signing a Presidential "finding" - for a covert action the Seals are quite capable of.

Basically the US has overwhelming political and military power in the Americas, (a la Monroe Doctrine) much more so than in Europe.

Probably Assange's only hope in the Americas would be to end up in Cuba (eventually) where he may not feel quite at home in that unusual Latin-Communist totalitarian society.

Planta

Would what Bob Carr (as Foreign Minister) said today comfort Assange?
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-06-24/carr-says-us-has-no-plans-to-extradite-assange/4088862

"They haven't said they have plans to extradite him. They haven't been able to rule out that one corner of the American administration might not be considering it, but I would expect that the US would not want to touch this."

If Bob talks to his appropriate opposite number, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, his quoted response above may be accurate.

But there are other "corners" of the US Government, such as Special Operations Command (SOCOM), that are normally precluded by US law and political convention from sharing information on sensitive future options or plans with a foreign national - even the Foreign Minister of an ally.