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Deteriorating economic outlook for North Atlantic economies : Comments
By Saul Eslake, published 15/9/2011It's looking like a chilly economic winter and beyond for Europe.
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If you look at real data, jobs, both permanent and part-time have been in decline in the U.S since 2007, housing continues to decline and will never, repeat, never recover, there is too much debt and forcing more debt never solves any problems. Government spending will not save the day, growth is waning globally and with our key finite resources (see oil) now in terminal decline, economic growth as sprouted by all governments and economists can't go on.
Europe is a basket case waiting to blow and once it does it will follow the U.S. to the bottom of the pit. Demand destruction in these two areas will have a massive impact on China (which by the way is a powder keg of its own making) as the U.S and Europe are China's two biggest markets. Once this occurs China will not be importing the resources from Australia in any where near the same levels as current. Australia is a bit player in a game of Russion Roulette and we will lose like everyone else.
Get used to the bade news, it's not going to get better and the sooner main stream economists and governments realise this the better.
Growth will never return to pre 2007 levels, its down from here on it, get used to it and learn to adapt.