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The Forum > Article Comments > The Queensland floods are not related to anthropogenic global warming > Comments

The Queensland floods are not related to anthropogenic global warming : Comments

By Cliff Ollier, published 17/1/2011

If global warming is happening it bears no blame for the Queensland floods.

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A genuine thanks to you, Bonmot, for persisting with the Wonderland crowd...

It's people like you that keep me sane.
Posted by popnperish, Thursday, 20 January 2011 6:53:54 PM
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AoM: backatcha

popnperish: it's people like Alice that keeps me sane :)
Posted by bonmot, Saturday, 22 January 2011 8:35:12 AM
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I think Alice is an abuser .... of intellectual honesty
Posted by Agnostic of Mittagong, Monday, 24 January 2011 11:31:07 AM
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By the way, whoever asked why the 1974 floods were bigger than the 2011 one, it is now recognised that, without Wyvenhoe dam, the 2011 flood would have been 1.5 metres higher. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/brisbane-saved-from-ruin-by-dam/story-fn59niix-1225992598096
Posted by popnperish, Monday, 24 January 2011 7:13:19 PM
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“Gold” –Noooo! Bonmot.

THIS IS GOLD.

1) "Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous general circulation climate models have been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of future climate for various scenarios.... It is thus unclear by how much the confidence in future projections should increase based on improvements in simulating present-day conditions, a reduction of intermodel spread, or a larger number of models....Last, there is little agreement on metrics to separate “good” and “bad” models, and there is concern that model development, evaluation, and posterior weighting or ranking are all using the same datasets. While the multimodel average appears to still be useful in some situations, these results show that more quantitative methods to evaluate model performance are critical to maximize the value of climate change projections from global models."
http://forum.onlineopinion.com.au/thread.asp?article=11519#196433

2) “The ability of the current generation of models to simulate (not forecast) some aspects of regional CC is limited, judging from the spread of results from different models; there is little confidence in specific projections (not forecasts) of future regional climate change, except at continental scales.”
http://forum.onlineopinion.com.au/thread.asp?article=11483#195902

Well done, Alice Thermopolis.

Bonmot, the earlier one you shouted EUREKA! over was merely fools gold (FeS2.) —better luck next time,eh!
Posted by SPQR, Wednesday, 26 January 2011 9:37:42 AM
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