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Rare earths: cause for worry, not panic : Comments
By Derek Scissors, published 13/10/2010There are legitimate concerns over Chinese dominance in rare earth minerals but any panic is unjustified.
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Anybody starting such a venture does so knowing that China can flood the market anytime by varying their quota arbitrarily.
So, production outside china will need a lot of shelter from Chinese manipulation, presumably in the form of government supplementation in the event that such occurs.
If China wants to play games, that's fine. The cost of starting a rare-earth industry independent of china will make it necessary to use such an industry preferentially, even if china changes it's quotas, just to pay off the amortised costs.
Brinksmanship, what fun.
Rusty