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How to disembowel an economy : Comments
By Alex Cowie, published 24/5/2010The main problem with the super-profits tax is it has introduced an enormous cloud of uncertainty over Australian resource projects.
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In a recent talk, BP exec David Eyton mentioned some of the issues re minerals projects in the developing world.
“How do we sign 30-year contracts and expect future governments to abide by them? BP [takes] huge risk over many years and backs this bet with our capital.” Often, after BP has spent billions of dollars, a country evicts them - during the last century, BP was asked to leave Iran, Iraq, Nigeria and Venezuela.
BP has learned is the importance of mutuality. Many countries with major new oil and gas discoveries lack the required expertise and technology.
"Governments realize that if they are going to extract those resources and profit from them, they need to partner with somebody who knows what they are doing. And most realize that abandoning a contract carries risks for them, too.
"What we need is a legal system - to have confidence that a deal can be enforced. There also has to be order, enforced by the police and/or an army. And lastly, we need a fiscal or regulatory regime which describes how the money flows and the rules of the game. These can be difficult in less well developed countries, but if we have them we can probably do a deal, and provided that we are sure we can keep our people safe, then we can begin operations.
"I would argue that mutuality is not simply about a deal, but structuring the relationship so that you are adding value over a long period of time. Absent this, the local community will turn around and kick you out."
The minerals industry involves very high risks and incurs huge capital expenditure long before any returns are made. The RSPT fails to acknowledge the risks and long return-free period for mines. The risk for mining in Australia's has moved much closer to that in developing countries. How can that benefit anyone?