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The 'which years are the hottest?' non-conspiracy : Comments
By Stephen Keim, published 30/3/2010Good science is more complicated than lay people and politicians would like to believe.
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Posted by Atman, Wednesday, 31 March 2010 11:16:27 AM
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Being an ideologue does not eliminate the need for research and checking facts.
Here is a section of the interview by the BBC with Phil Jones (University of East Anglia, Hadley Research Centre)regarding this very question (after he was caught out):
B - Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming?
Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods.
(A weak way of admitting he was dead wrong. I'm only "just" wrong!!)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8511670.stm.