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Why John Howard will win next year's federal election : Comments
By James McConvill, published 25/10/2006Poor economic performance is the only reason a federal government is voted out in Australia.
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Posted by daggett, Monday, 11 December 2006 9:51:32 AM
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It's just as wrong to presume that Howard is finished as it is to presume that Howard's re-election in 2007 is inevitable. Too many people made that mistake in 1998, 2001 and 2004. I have a hard copy of an article by Sydney Morning Herald journalist Alan Ramsey from early 2001 which treated Howard's demise at the elections scheduled later that year as a foregone conclusion for a large number of also compelling reasons.
And, before that we can thank the likes of Paul Keating, who helped to lull progressive Australians into not treating Howard as a serious threat, for the fact that he won office in 1996.